My local body voting papers arrived earlier in the week, so its time for the usual post in which I try and work out who I'm voting for. This year in addition to my usual policy interests of climate change, public transport, decent services (which must be paid for), and wanting a council that looks like Aotearoa, I'm doing an outright litmus test on Māori wards: supporters in, opponents out. I'm also worried about the quiet campaign of stealth cooker candidates seeking to infiltrate, subvert, and undermine local government. Sadly the media seems to have stopped paying attention to this, and there hasn't been any concentrated coverage or big exposes like last time, so I've had to try and spot the cookers myself. I've also been using the Progress Report to see what there is about the candidates; unfortunately policy.nz hasn't been very useful to me this time (it may be useful to you?). Where does that leave me? Read on...
Referendums
If it wasn't clear enough, I will be voting to retain Māori wards at both local and regional level, because fuck this racist anti-Māori regime. Also, the endless parade of local body figures - including lots of boring old white conservatives - saying simply "they work" or even defending them on economic grounds, ought to convince everyone that the government has made a very bad decision here.
Mayor
There are four candidates this time, all of which seem fairly normal. All of them support Māori wards, and all of them seem to be on roughly the same page (so far) regarding climate change and public transport - though there's a mayoral debate next week, so maybe some policy differences will arise then. Until then I'm mostly going on vibes, and those are that the incumbent, Grant Smith, is pretty good. That said, I like Orphée Mickalad, and normally I'd preference him ahead of Smith on demographic grounds (young before old etc...), if not for the fact that he talks about "faith" in his blurb (which is usually a sign of being a bigot or a weirdo or both), and he supported the regime tolling the existing state highway connection to Hawkes' Bay (which I don't use, but still... fuck that shit). Michael Morris's big pitch is that he's a vegan, which doesn't seem to have much relevance to local government, but I'm tempted to rank him first on environmental grounds (STV, so it doesn't hurt). There is no information about Caleb Riddick, none whatsoever. He might be a great candidate (and again, would normally rank highly on demographic grounds) - but there's just nothing, other than support for Māori wards. In the current environment that's a danger sign, so unless something pops up in the debate next week, he's probably not even getting preferenced.
City Council
This is a big decision-space: 37 candidates for 13 spaces in the Te Hirawanui general ward. So its mostly an exercise in winnowing the field. Fortunately some of it is easy: there are two Green and two Labour candidates, who will get the top spots, and the incumbents are known quantities who generally support Māori wards as well (with a couple of notable exceptions), and some of them can be safely given a lower preference. There are also people who are easy to rule out, starting the ACT candidate (fuck them), anyone who has signed the Taxpayers Onion pledge, anyone who says "keep rates low" (or equivalent), anyone ranting about Featherston Street and cycleways, and cookers. On the latter front, Jackie Wheeler submitted against the pandemic response (and explicitly endorsed Voices For Freedom to boot); she also founded the local angry "residents" group, which is a VFF front (so, no preference for anyone they endorse). Quintin McGregor also submitted in favour of the virus, spewing cooker tropes. Mel Butler ran last time and I'd marked her as an anti-vaxer then. Dave Poppelwell is a former New Conservative candidate. Zakk Rokkanno smells like a cooker as well, talking about being "not easily led" and "think[ing] for myself" (last time it was an explicit promise to Do His Own Research), but his concern about "cancel culture" is still a screaming red flag - what are you afraid of being "cancelled" over, Zakk?
"Back to basics" seems to be the local cooker passphrase, and so anyone with that in their blurb (Dunlop, Hoskins, Salisbury) can be ruled out.
Incumbents who can be ruled out: Hapeta and Wood (Nats, oppose Māori wards), Arnott (pro-car), Findlay, Meehan, and Naylor (keep rates low). I'd also rule out Michael Strachan, simply because he seems to have no idea what local government actually does (its not about mental health and education), and because he talks about "faith" (weirdo!). Verne Wilson is just a Business Daddy, so he can fuck off.
So who does that leave who might get a preference after my top four (Zabelin, Barrett, Butt, Johnson) and safe incumbents (Bowen, Dennison)? Nelson Harper is involved in Just Zilch (a local food rescue charity; a good sign), and a self-described greenie. He's been critical of Featherston Street, but approaches it from a place of not being sure it was the best design, rather than "rarr! bike lanes!". Worth a preference I think. Cameron Jenkins is from the Manawatu Tenants Union, and a queer community advocate. Richard Woolgar is a water engineer, seems pretty sensible, supports Māori wards, and might be OK.
People I'm not sure about: Tobias Nash (an OK blurb, and he's been trolling the cookers and the TPU, but I'm just not sure OK, seen some endorsements of him as smart and progressive, so I'll bump him up to giving him a preference), Eldhose Poovathumveettil Mathew (good blurb, but mentions reducing rates while promising more services), Adrian Phillips (pro-rail, pro-Māori wards, but talking about political "independence" just smalls bad), Atif Rahim (pro 3 waters last time, but also says "sensible spending"), and of course Caleb Riddick (again: nothing to judge on but the blurb, which isn't enough). These might get a preference if I have any left.
The Māori ward candidates all look quite good, but I'm not on that roll.
Horizons
Lots of choice this year - ten candidates for four positions. And a recent debate showed most candidates to be on the same page on the issues I care about. The exception being Peter Wells, who I'd rule out just on his "affordable rates" tag anyway. I also have a long-standing hate against corrupt former mayor Jono Naylor, even if he spoke up strongly for Māori wards and is largely in the right place on everything else.
Horizons still uses the archaic and undemocratic bloc-vote system, so I need to be more careful than I would under STV. I'll happily give a tick to incumbents Wiremu Te Awe Awe and Fiona Gordon, and to Green candidate Emma Gregg. as for my fourth vote, it'll probably go to Daniel Fordyce (the Just Zilch seal of approval again!), or to Manu Karki. I'd rule out Charles George purely on demographics (and because he talks about being "independent" again - should this be an official red flag?), but nothing seems particularly wrong with the other two.
Voting closes at noon on Saturday, 11 October, so I have a bit of time to refine my choices. Because of the general unreliability of NZ Post these days, I'll be dropping my vote in one of the big orange boxes around town, rather than trusting the postal system. Fortunately there's one at every library, supermarket, and a bunch of other places as well, so it ought to be easy.
Update (11/09/2025): added comments about Tobias Nash; I'm bumping him up from "not sure" to "preference".