I'm digesting the latest copy of the Social Report, the government's annual statistical monitoring of social performance, and there were some interesting statistics which grabbed my attention. Over the weekend, the Sunday Star-Times had a feature on the new gender imbalance at universities, which began with the line
Young women, not content with outshining the boys at secondary school, are now stealing a march on them at universities and polytechs.
DPF has a compilation of the headline statistics here.
In right-wing circles, its traditional to blame this on the new, "feminised", PC education system - and in particular on NCEA. But I'm not sure how well that explanation fits with this graph, on gender-differences in school-leaving performance:
As can clearly be seen, differential performance at secondary school is nothing new; girls have been outperforming boys as far back as records began - and under the "manly" system of external, one-off examinations to boot. So its clearly not NCEA which is at fault. Likewise, I'm not sure how relevant complains about modern "feminised", "PC" education are, when the differential success is pronounced as far back as 1990.
Secondly, the SST's core story - that there are more women than men at university - isn't even new. As the figure below shows, there have been more women than men in tertiary education in every age-group except 15-17 year olds since 1996 (and looking back through past editions, its since 1994). The gap has been consistently widening, just as it has been in secondary school performance, but its been there all along.
So what story are these statistics telling? Clearly, I'd like to see more data, both going further back, to see when these trends started, but also around things like gender differences in school leaving rates, because I suspect the latter is likely to be quite important. There's probably an aspect of natural aptitude in the school stats (as numerous educationalists have pointed out, girls work at school while boys dick around - so of course they do better), which naturally carries on to greater tertiary participation. But I think there's also been a clear change of expectations. Firstly, we are now in an age of mass tertiary education, in which people with the grades are expected to continue on to university. And secondly, there have been changes in expectations around women and work, to the extent that any discouragement in attending tertiary education of pursuing a career which requires it has mostly passed. If a greater proportion of girls are getting the grades which translate into an expectation of university attendance, then that would explain the current gap. Though again, we'd need more statistics to nail this down (anyone have anything relevant here?)
What we are clearly seeing though is the death of unearned male privilege in tertiary education, which should eventually mean the death of unearned male privilege in careers. And that I think is something we should welcome.