Monday, May 31, 2010

No Green breakthrough in Colombia

Today, Colombians went to the polls in the first round of presidential elections. Up until last week, it was expected that the Green candidate, Antanas Mockus, would make a strong showing, strong enough to win the second round and become the world's first Green head of state. Unfortunately, things didn't work out like that:

Former Colombian Defence Minister Juan Manuel Santos has won the first round of the country's presidential election.

With almost all the ballots counted, Mr Santos - who is supported by popular incumbent Alvaro Uribe - is credited with about 47% of the vote.

His main rival, Antanas Mockus of the Green Party, achieved 21%.

Although Mr Santos failed to win outright, he is expected to get the support of some defeated candidates and to win the 20 June run-off.

So the polls, which have been consistently reporting Santos and Mockus neck-in-neck, were horribly wrong. Those polling companies should really be looking at their methodology.