Monday, June 15, 2020

The Labour list

Labour released its party list today, and it goes all the way to 84 - enough candidates for 70% of the vote (or a lot of mid-term replacements). There are a couple of high profile demotions, though the list spots are still more than winnable, so that's really just stabbing those MPs in their vanity. There's also a lot of people being downranked in the midlist, a decision forced by Labour's Māori MP's suddenly deciding they have competition again. but the lowest-ranked incumbent is at spot 49, so it looks like they're in no danger unless Labour's polling collapses to less than 40%. Meanwhile, one name is conspicuous by its absence: Ōhāriu MP and former Police Association spokesperson Greg O'Connor. I'm not sure if this is because he has chosen to go electorate only, because he is planning a shock retirement-announcement, or whether the Labour Party realised that in the current climate, sticking an advocate of an armed police force on the list was toxic. But whatever, his absence is welcome. And if he is competing in Ōhāriu, I hope the voters throw him out on his arse so his toxic voice for violence is gone forever.

I've done the usual table showing who's up and who's down, though I stopped at 60, because what a) nobody knows who those people are; and b) no-one wins 50% of the vote anyway.

2020 RankName2017 RankDifference
1Jacinda Ardern1--
2Kelvin Davis2--
3Grant Robertson4+1
4Phil Twyford5+1
5Megan Woods6+1
6Chris Hipkins7+1
7Andrew Little3-4
8Carmel Sepuloni8--
9David Parker9+1
10Nanaia Mahuta----
11Trevor Mallard33+22
12Stuart Nash11-1
13Iain Lees-Galloway14-1
14Jenny Salesa19+5
15Damien O'Connor18+3
16Kris Faafoi20+4
17David Clark9-8
18Ayesha Verrall----
19Peeni Henare----
20Willie Jackson22+2
21Aupito William Sio16-5
22Poto Williams25+3
23Vanushi Walters----
24Michael Wood27+3
25Adrian Rurawhe----
26Raymond Huo13-13
27Kiri Allan21-6
28Kieran McAnulty38+10
29Louisa Wall26-3
30Meka Whaitiri----
31Rino Tirikatene----
32Camilla Belich----
33Priyanca Radhakrishnan12-21
34Jan Tinetti15-19
35Deborah Russell30-5
36Marja Lubeck32-4
37Angie Warren-Clark39+2
38Willow-Jean Prime17-21
39Tamati Coffey35-4
40Naisi Chen50+10
41Jo Luxton29-12
42Jamie Strange36-6
43Liz Craig31-12
44Ibrahim Omer----
45Duncan Webb43-2
46Anahila Kanongata'a-Suisuiki37-9
47Ginny Andersen28-19
48Rachel Brooking----
49Paul Eagle34-15
50Helen White40-10
51Barbara Edmonds----
52Angela Roberts----
53Shanan Halbert51-2
54Neru Leavasa----
55Tracey McLellan----
56Lemauga Lydia Sosene44-12
57Steph Lewis----
58Dan Rosewarne----
59Rachel Boyack48-11
60Arena Williams----