Thursday, April 10, 2003

How long will it last?

Image stolen from the BBC

The BBC is reporting scenes of jubilation from Iraqis as they greet US troops (consume!). But how long will it last?

Now that Saddam is out of the picture, the Iraqis are understandably going to want to control their own destiny. Unfortunately, the US doesn't seem so keen on the idea - at least not until the oil, reconstruction and basing rights agreements have been signed. How long will it be before the Americans wear out their welcome, and the jubilation turns to resentment?

Judging from Afghanistan, about six months.