Tuesday, October 26, 2004

Election speculation

Speculation about an early election is growing thanks to the John Tamihere saga. I'm hoping it doesn't come to that. Even if Tamihere loses his seat, the government is no worse off with regards to enacting its legislative program - they've always been a minority government, and have had to negotiate for every bill. The only problem is confidence and supply - but here they can easily cut a deal with either NZFirst or the Greens, or even the Maori Party for that matter. While it would require policy concessions (which I'd hope would be relatively minor, given that they're after less than a year's support and won't have much time to enact new legislation), it's perfectly do-able. The only barrier is pride and stupidity.