A YouGov poll today has put the LibDems in the lead in the UK election race, 1% ahead of the Tories. But plugging these numbers into the Swingometer gives absolutely absurd results:
Party | % Vote | Seats | % Seats |
Liberal Democrats | 33 | 132 | 20.3 |
Conservative | 32 | 239 | 36.8 |
Labour | 26 | 247 | 38.0 |
Others & NI | 9 | 32 | 4.9 |
That's right: the LibDems win a hundred fewer seats than the Tories, despite leading them by 1%. Meanwhile, Labour gets the most seats, despite trailing well behind in third place.
This is utterly perverse, and should be unacceptable in a real democracy. No government elected by such a system can have any legitimacy. If the election result is anything like this poll, then the only fair outcome is a temporary coalition to implement electoral reform, followed by a second election under a new, fair system.