Saturday, September 17, 2005



Election Day

Election day has always felt like a holiday to me. Not as much as Halloween, but still a holiday. And despite some worries last night (involving thunder, lightning, and hailstones the size of marbles), the weather has turned out reasonably well.

So, I'm going to enjoy the sun for a bit, vote, then go to Wellington to watch the results. And no matter which way it turns out, democracy will be the winner on the day.

3 comments:

Let's just hope Winston doesn't turn it into a game of two halves!

Posted by Anonymous : 9/17/2005 01:55:00 PM

50-49-7-6-4-3-2-1

"Natural" blocks are 61-61, neither can put foward a speaker and pass a confidence vote.

1: Labour could easily drop back to 49 seats on specials, but the difference would almost certainly go to a minor party (I don't know the equasion they use, and it's too late to look it up). No change.

2: If the greens don't make 4.5% on specials they're gone; and that'll leave National, NZF, and United Future in the clear as a centre-right conservative government.

3: If Winston offers support on supply and everyone votes issue by issue it's a center-left government with Labour-Green-NZF on supply and a new pastiche for every vote.
That'd be fun, but another three years of headaches for Helen. 8]

4: National could offer up a speaker to avoid a new election; might be a smart move, leave the mess to destroy itself and take the easy win at the next election.


And to think, National could've cruised this by stealing as few as 1% of Labours voters and leaving the tax-cut crowd with ACT and the immigration crowd with NZF. Hah!

Posted by tussock : 9/18/2005 01:00:00 AM

Voters registered is up. Voters actually voting is not as high as I'd want. I was kinda hoping for a world record here, but it looks like it'll be a modest turn out (unless the specials are rampant).

Posted by Anonymous : 9/18/2005 02:15:00 AM